Aug 4, 2020

is anyone or everyone bluffing?

According to news reports, the Haredi parties are putting out messages, though no specific name has been associated with these messages, that should Netanyahu drag us to new elections, they will not automatically support him, they will not necessarily recommend him to the President for forming the coalition, and they will not sign loyalty documents as was done in the past year's rounds of elections.

The Haredi parties are upset with what looks like Netanyahu doing everything possible to break up the coalition, with threats from his people coming every day, and head to elections. More specifically, the Haredi parties are reportedly trying to get Netanyahu to no longer wait for the passing of the budget to allocate funds for yeshivot, as is normally done, but to make an exception now, due to the bad financial situation of the yeshivas with the long delays of government funding because of no budget and no government for the past year and a half, and pass a special budget for the yeshivas while he fights with Kachol Lavan over the general budget details. Netanyahu has not exactly played along, but even should he decide to, the Attorney General has indicated that it won't be possible to make such an exception and special budget for one set of interests.

this could also be a form of keeping their commitment to Gantz as guarantors, as promised should Gantz give up almost everything to join a unity government,which he did. Even though they recently said they are no longer bound by that commitment due to a recent vote in Knesset against Haredi interests, this could be seen as fulfillment of that guarantee.

Coalition Whip Mk Miki Zohar (Likud) has responded pretty much saying that he is not worried because what other choice do they have - are they going to support the leftists against Netanyahu in elections, if we end up with elections? Zohar said he believes the Right Bloc will remain intact, should we go to elections.

Zohar might have forgotten that the Right Bloc no longer exists, since Yamina was left out of the government. There might, or might not, be a Likud-Haredi bloc, but there is no Right Bloc. Could it be re-formed? Perhaps, though it is hard to imagine Yamina agreeing to signing loyalty documents for Netanyahu and being part of a bloc that they know has no problem leaving them out of after elections. That does not make it impossible but it seems unlikely.

Who is right? Who will come out on top? who will blink first? Will we go to elections soon or will the Haredi parties really prevent it? If we got o elections, will the Haredi parties really not support Netanyahu? All we can do is wait and see...






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