May 9, 2021
Porush Eichlet send letter to Netanyahu with solution to election problem
I dont get it.
PM Netanyahu had 28 days to try to form a coalition. He failed. Netanyahu spent much of that time working to prevent an alternative government rather than trying to form a coalition. He never even got together with Gdeon Saar and his people to try to persuade them (not that there was much of a chance), and he spent more time attacking Naftali Bennett and Yamina than trying to finish a coalition - even though they agreed to join a Netanyahu government if he could get 61.
When Netanyahu's 28 days came to an end with no coalition, the mandate was given to MK Yair Lapid to try to form a coalition. He is working to that goal now, and he might or might not be successful. Odds are against him being successful, but all we can do right now is wait and see.
Today Deputy Minister Meir Porush and MK Yisroel Eichler, both from UTJ, sent a letter to PM Netanyahu. They suggested that Netanyahu step aside for a year and a half and allow someone else from the Likud to be Prime Minister, thus enabling them to form a full right wing coalition. After the year and a half, Netanyahu would return to the premiership.
Porush and Eichler are assuming that Saar and Bennett would be fine with such an arrangement and join this government.
What I do not get is, why now? Right now it is not in Netanyahu's hands to form a government. He had just about a month to try. Where were they then? Right now it is in Lapid's hands. If Lapid fails, we almost definitely go to elections. The President almost definitely won't give it back to Netanyahu after he already failed. So why now?
And, despite the why now, what is this new proposal anyway? Netanyahu offered everybody and their cousin, except Gideon Saar, first slot in a rotation arrangement. How is this new, dramatic, letter to Netanyahu presenting a new option, not previously explored? The problem with such a promise is not that Netanyahu refuses to make the promise, but that nobody believes anything he says because in the past he has broken so many promises to all the people now opposed to him - they no longer trust a word he says and are no longer willing to work with him. And if UTJ or Shas offers to guarantee the promise be kept, we all know how that turned out last time and that nobody will accept such a guarantee now because of it.
So, what are they trying to accomplish with this letter?
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Maybe they sent it a while back via the doar and it just arrived now?
ReplyDeletelol
DeleteArutz 7 says they're talking about Bennett there. Bibi, being petty, would refuse.
ReplyDeleteWhy now? Because people are very good at deluding themselves.
It is true that if at any time in the past 2 years Bibi had stepped down, whoever took over from Likud would have had no problem forming a stable government.
ReplyDeleteThat is true now. If Bibi stepped down now, and someone else took over Likud, there is a reasonable chance that Bennet and Saar would stop negotiations with Lapid to form a government, which would make it impossible for him to make a coalition forcing Lapid to hand the mandate back to the President in 4 weeks time.
At that time, any member of the Knesset would be able to form a government if they get the backing of 61 MKs. This would be relatively easy for the new leader of Likud who would be backed by all the right wing parties and Yamina and Saar.
The reason that the Haredi parties are so worried about a Bennet-Lapid government, is that the new government will agree on almost nothing - the span the entire spectrum from extreme right to extreme left. They have said that this government would be mainly a caretaker government with no major policy changes in the next year unless there is a broad consensus of all members.
This means that there will be no change to settlement policy, or the Nation-State Law, or any other security related issues. The only issues that they may agree on are whether to set up a commission of enquiry into Meron (which they have already discussed), and whether to cut funding for Haredi yeshivot and possibly even draft more Yeshiva boys.
If I were head of Shas or Aguda right now, I would be extremely worried