Just another proof that learning gemara is better than any secular education out there.

Reminds me of the old chauvinistic joke. Ask a man what are the chances that when you walk outside your front door you'll see a dinosaur, he will answer something to the tune of 0.000000001% . Ask a woman, she will say 50/50. Because after all, either you will or you won't.
Gee, you think that beyond the stupidity factor this is a clear biblical violation of gneivat daat?

Actually, Lee Child makes the same mistake in the latest Jack Reacher novel.

Sounds like Livni-logic:


In recent days, former US officials estimated that Kerry's chances of succeeding were "around 10%." Tzipi Livni is unimpressed by the numbers: "It's not a matter of percentages," she says. "Either there will be an agreement or there won't be."