The Finance Minister, Betzalel Smotritch, is supposed to bring the new budget to the government by October 29 so that it has enough time to be passed by the end of the year. To note, if the budget does not get passed in time, the Knesset automatically disperses and the country goes to elections.

The Draft Law is on the docket and the Haredi parties are upset that it has been repeatedly postponed, causing all sorts of problems for them (especially the issue of subsidized day care).

After several threats to get the Draft law passed that saw the Haredi parties back down at the last moment, Minister Goldknopf recently repeatedly threatened several times to not allow the budget to pass unless the Draft law is passed first. As well, other laws would be blocked until the Draft Law is passed. The general thinking has been that as always they wont carry through with the threat and will back down at the last moment because they dont want to bring down the government, and in the worst case scenario Bibi will pay them off in some way to back down again. This time though with Goldknopf stepping up the threats it might be a real crisis.

Additionally, Smotritch responded to Goldknopf's demand of passing the Draft law before the budget saying it isnt going to happen. Some Likud MKs also spoke up today saying they will not support the Draft Law. Ben Gvir spoke up saying drafting to the IDF needs to be incentivized, and he is against forcing - people are taking that as supporting the Haredi position but he never said he would support the Draft Law so in my mind it is still unknown what Ben Gvir will do.

In an attempt to stave off the crisis, PM Netanyahu called a meeting of the heads of the coalition parties.

Interestingly, reporters have been reporting that Smotritch, Deri and Gafni did not participate in this meeting. So basically, if accurate, this meeting became one of Netanyahu, Saar, Ben Gvir, and Goldknopf.

I still think that Netanyahu has a card up his sleeve and may call for early elections, dispersing the Knesset. This solves the budget issues (which rumor has it the budget isnt ready) and the Draft Law issues. And, recent polls continue to show Netanyahu growing in power and popularity back to pre-war times. if Netanyahu trusts those polls and his internal polling supports the numbers as well. This very well might happen. I dont make predictions but I wouldnt be surprised if this happens. If he was really smart, he would do it over a hostage deal, but doing it over the draft law isnt so bad for him either if no hostage deal is to be had in a timely fashion. It may be his only solution if he cant get everyone to toe the line. 

Fetterman for the win:

Liberal host: "There was a young child who was killed who was taking the pager to their parent."
Sen. Fetterman: "Daddy was a member of Hezbollah. That's tragic. He brought that danger and evil into their home." pic.twitter.com/6e4J0U7nvE

— Justin Hart (@justin_hart) October 27, 2024

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That is the message displayed on a large billboard in Palestine Square in Tehran, after Israel's strike on Friday night.

The working theory is that Iran is threatening Israel with another "October 7" style attack.

Let's not forget, the official name of the Oct 7 Hamas operation Was "The Al Aqsa Storm"

First, I dont even know if Iran is capable, at this point, of carrying out any such devastating attack. Hamas has been, and continues to be further, decimated in Gaza by the IDF. Hezbollah in the north is being decimated with almost all its leaders having been taken out pretty quickly and then their replacements also being taken out almost immediately, and then good portions of the weapons stores and tunnels being taken out. Iran's attacks in Israel have been minimally effective. The Houthis are ravaging the shipping lanes int he Red Sea but they arent capable of an October 7 like storm on Israel. The Israel Air Force spent like 3 hours, reportedly, in Iranian airspace unchallenged, and they also had to fly over and through Iraqi airspace to get there.  Iran has already shown itself to be a paper tiger, as long as it doesnt go nuclear.

Second, if Israel should decide to attack Iran directly again, I would encourage the planners of such an attack to have our pilots destroy Palestine Square with a couple heavy bombs. Or to avoid civilian casualties, maybe have some troops or agents on the ground do it more covertly.

this take is so stupid and uninformed it is funny...

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four female combat navigators were members of the Israeli Air Force team that attacked Iran on Friday night 

This image is not PotD just to show women are highly capable but due to the irony of these women taking part in the attack on Iran where women are so suppressed...

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