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May 3, 2020

will Supreme Court bring new elections this morning?

The Supreme Court is supposed to be deciding this morning whether there is a legal impediment to Benjamin Netanyahu forming a government and becoming Prime Minister again despite being under indictment.

If the Supreme Court decides against Netanyahu, it will send us to another round of elections. This is not just a threat out of anger against Supreme Court intervention, but was solidified in the agreements between Gantz and Netanyahu as well, so elections will happen.

What I do not understand is, if the Supreme Court rules against netanyahu and says he cannot form  a government, what will new elections help? The Supreme Court will already have decided that he cannot form the government, and even if he wins the new elections he still will not be able to form the government. So what would elections do for anybody? If the Supreme Court rules against Netanyahu, the Likud should appoint someone in his place. Elections will not do anything to let the Likud run the government again with Netanyahu at its head, as far as I can tell.

In general, I think the Supreme Court should have ruled on this long ago. They refused to rule on this during the election cycle saying it is not a relevant discussion until Netanyahu is set to form a coalition. To me it seems like they wasted all this time and if they were going to invalidate Netanyahu form being allowed to form a coalition (and I do not know that they will), it made sense to do so before elections, so Likud could run a candidate that would be allowed to form a coalition. Why force elections with a candidate that cannot form a government? I do wonder if perhaps not ruling on this earlier means it is likely they will allow Netanyahu to form a government, but I am not sure that is conclusive.

Regardless, if they rule against Netanyahu this morning, I am not sure what new elections will resolve.


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