I don't normally relate to polls, especially mid-term polls, because they are pointless and almost meaningless. If polls get the electoral results so wrong around election time, how much more wrong they must be when it is not elections season, in my opinion.

Despite that, there is a poll being bandied about now that is indicating that if elections were to be held today, Shas would not achieve the minimum threshold and would not make it back into the Knesset.

Again, this is a meaningless poll. There is no campaigning going on and presumably, if there were, Shas would dredge up the memory of Rav Ovadia and get some more votes from that. In addition, just by the nature of campaigning they would wake up at least some of their more complacent voters and get a boost from that. And of course the call of the rabbis to vote Shas would draw in a bunch more.

I really do not think they are prone to disappearing right now, though it is possible they might continue to shrink.

That being said, I do wonder where all these Shas voters are going. When Shas was formed, they took a lot of their voters from the Likud, some from Mafdal, and then a bit from a few other parties. Likud is not growing in the polls but might get a few former Shas supporters. Habayit Hayehudi might get some. UTJ will get a bunch of the more yeshivish Shas voters. Maybe the new small parties that crop up and disappear will pick some up. I don't know but these polls make me wonder where they are all going if they are no longer supporting Shas.