Oct 27, 2022
why is Ayelet Shaked running?
A lot of people are wondering why Ayelet Shaked is so insistent on running and not dropping out, considering the polls showing her not crossing the threshold, and not even close to it.
ok, I'll say it.
I suspect that because most of her voters are not hard core right wing but more center-right, she isnt really risking anything. She might actually be helping the right by running and not passing the threshold If she doesnt run, most of her voters will not likely move over to Smotritch-Ben Gvir or Bibi. Most will probably move over to Gantz, maybe some to Lapid (and of course some to Bibi and SMotritch, and maybe some will stay home. If most of her voters are not right wing voters anyway, if she fails to pass the votes being wasted are probably mostly Gantz's not the Right's
That is besides for the belief of polls being wrong. And also the large number of undecideds she thinks might decide at the last minute to support her.
That is besides for the belief of polls being wrong. And also the large number of undecideds she thinks might decide at the last minute to support her.
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You hit the nail right on the head! Kudos! The Likud has officially admitted to working together with Shaked right until the end.
ReplyDeleteAnother reason given is that by her running and burning votes she ensured that the minimum threshold will be higher, and thus ensuring that 3 anti Bibi parties do not enter the Knesset, rather than her dropping out and running the risk that her would be voters will not find an alternative and stay home, thereby lowering the threshold.