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Feb 9, 2025
the Trump Plan for Gaza
Now that things have calmed down a bit and the initial euphoria has somewhat abated, I think I am ready to write a little about the Trump Plan for Gaza. Mostly I have questions, and I would love to hear your thoughts or explanations.
I'll start off by saying I too love the idea of the Trump Plan for Gaza to get rid of the Palestinians and taking over Gaza. I suggested throughout the war that what exactly is winning the war (total victory) without conquering at least some of the land. I think, anecdotally, most people in Israel are favorable to this idea, if it can be done.
That being said, I am curious about the reality and pragmatically how this is going to work.
1. President Trump said the US will take Gaza. How does that work? Will the USA conquer Gaza and take ownership of it? Will they buy it from the Palestinians, like they want to buy Greenland from Denmark? Will they have Israel conquer Gaza and just hand it over to the USA? Will it continue to belong to the Palestinians but the USA will take administrative control over it (by force?) in order to demolish and rebuild?
2. As far as removing Palestinians from Gaza, Trump himself was unclear - will he remove them by force or will he encourage those who want to leave and open the gates? PM Netanyahu last night in an interview to Fox News clarified that they will not forcibly remove anyone but anyone who wants will be allowed to leave. Sounds good. How many want to leave? With 2-2.5 million Palestinians in Gaza, even if some want to leave, and I have not heard any estimates higher than a couple hundred thousand people might leave if given the chance but let's be "large" as we say in Hebrew and say half a million might leave - that still leaves 1.5-2 million Palestinians in Gaza who do not want to leave. What happens with them? I assume the ones who do not want to leave aren't the ones who are a problem - it is the ones who wont want to leave who are largely the terrorist supporters, or terrorists.
3. Haven't we exhausted the mistaken belief that if we just pay them off with a good decent life they will leave us alone and be quiet and prefer to enjoy their lives? Suddenly we are going back to thinking that if we can promise them a decent living and a decent life somewhere else, that is all they want and they will go happily? Didn't we fall for that cone and they proved us wrong and showed that paying them off for quiet doesn't work? We are going to try that again and think it might work this time?
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1. You've put way more thought into this than Trump.
ReplyDelete2. People forget that the only reason Germany and Japan are prosperous, liberal democracies today is because they were totally destroyed at the end of WW2 and endured a long period of occupation by the Allies who controlled them and the rebuilding effort until they were certain that the old societies have been erased. The US, Israel or both would therefore have to demolish the rest of Gaza and announce a 10 year forced occupation during which any terrorism would be harshly dealt with without concern for civilian casualties while the supervise the rebuilding. That just won't happen.
3. Americans have a psychological block. They think that everyone wants what Americans have - peace, prosperity and quiet and are willing to give up their cultural negatives for it.