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Mar 29, 2013

a new segula for finding a zivvug with 90% success arte

Davening by the grave of Rav Yonasan ben Uziel in Amuka has been considered a segula to find one's zivvug for a long time. The latest segula twist on that is that giving money to the Vaad HaRabbonim to daven for you on the night of the 7th day of Pesach, the night of the splitting of the Sea, at midnight, in Amuka will help a person find his or her own zivvug.

They say they have 90% success rate with the last of names from last year. Can you imagine that - 90% of the names on last years list for davening have gotten engaged! That is an astounding number! Why not mention the percentage from 2 years ago or from 10 years ago? Because it is a new segula that did not exist 2 years ago or 10 years ago. 90% success rate for a new segula is amazing!

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  1. Perhaps the basis for the Segula is that we know that finding a Zivug is Kashin Kikri'at Yam Suf.
    If Keri'at Yam Suf was "less Kasheh" on the 7th day of Pesah, then perhaps Zivuggim as well.

  2. that they are making this connection is clear. that they are making up a new segula is also clear. that they claim a 90% success rate is impressive.

  3. not necessarily amazing and impressive. how many segulos do they do yearly? given that this is a single data point (for one year), see wikipedia on outliers. "In the case of normally distributed data, roughly 1 in 22 observations will differ by twice the standard deviation or more from the mean, and 1 in 370 will deviate by three times the standard deviation." This besides regression towards the mean...

  4. There are a few obvious explanations:

    a) 72% of statistics are made up on the spot. Everyone knows that.
    b) They rejected all of the over the hill 19 years old and only had the most eligible and almost engaged in their tefillah.
    c) It is such a powerful Segulah the number was obvious it did not require verification.
    d) Anyone it did not work for, was obviously the person's fault so it would not be fair to count them as a failure.

  5. The Kol Emunim newsletter quotes the Bnei Yisaschar that Shevi'i shel Pesah is Mesugal for Parnassa, and one of the reasons given uses the similar idiom of מזונותיו של אדם קשין כקריעת ים סוף.


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